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GOP support for Kavanaugh and Trump is plummeting

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Brett Kavanaugh trump
President
Donald Trump shakes hands with Judge Brett Kavanaugh his Supreme
Court nominee, in the East Room of the White House, Monday, July
9, 2018, in Washington.

Alex
Brandon/AP


  • Support for Supreme Court nominee Brett Kavanaugh has fallen
    to its lowest levels since President Donald Trump announced his
    selection in July, according to new polling. 
  • Opposition to Kavanaugh’s nomination now exceeds support for
    the nominee. 
  • Support for Kavanaugh among Republican women has dropped 18
    points after the second of three sexual misconduct allegations
    were made against the judge. 

Support for Supreme Court nominee Brett Kavanaugh has fallen to
its lowest levels since President Donald Trump announced the pick
in July — and Republican women are a key reason for
that.  

Opposition to Kavanaugh’s nomination now exceeds support for it.

An NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist poll has
43% of Americans opposing his nomination and 38% supporting it,
while a new Morning Consult
poll
 says 37% oppose the nomination and 34% support it.

Kavanaugh suffered an 11-point drop in net support from
Republicans over the last week, according to Morning Consult —
and this includes an 18-point drop in support from Republican
women. Overall, 58% of GOP voters support his confirmation to the
country’s highest court, while 11% oppose it.

Morning Consult also found that GOP support for Trump dropped
alongside support for his SCOTUS pick, falling 16 points since a
similar poll last week. Among women, support for the president
dropped 19 points, with 68% approving and 26% disapproving. (The
poll’s results for Republican voters have a four point margin of
error).

Both polls were conducted before a third accuser, Julie Swetnick,
came forward with allegations on Wednesday that Kavanaugh plied
teenage girls with drugs and alcohol so that they could be “gang
raped” at high school house parties in the early 1980s.

Kavanaugh and one of his accusers, Christine Blasey Ford, are
scheduled to testify before the Senate Judiciary Committee on
Thursday, and nearly 60% of Americans say they will be
following the proceedings closely, according to The Marist
poll
.

That poll also found that about a third of Americans (32%)
believe Ford’s claims that Kavanaugh sexually assaulted her at a
party in the early 1980s, while 26% believe Kavanaugh’s denials,
and 42% don’t know who to believe.

But a large majority of Americans believe that if Kavanaugh did
indeed attack Ford, he should not be confirmed to the Supreme
Court. Nearly 60% say that if Ford’s allegations are true,
Kavanaugh isn’t fit to sit on the country’s highest court, but a
majority of Republicans (54%) say the judge should be confirmed
even if the allegations of sexual misconduct are true, according
to The Marist poll. 

Public opinion is markedly more supportive of the alleged victims
in this case than it was in 1991, when law
professor Anita
Hill
 alleged that Supreme Court nominee
Clarence Thomas sexually harassed her in the workplace. Hill
testified before the Senate Judiciary Committee then, too, in a
highly publicized spectacle.

The Morning Consult poll surveyed 1,966 registered voters between
Sept. 20-23 and has a margin of error of 2 percentage
points. And the Marist poll surveyed 997 adults between
Sept. 22-24 and has a margin of error of 3.9 percentage points.

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