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Democrats did something virtually unprecedented in the 2018 midterms

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Democrats House
Democrats
received a virtually unprecedented number of votes for the House
in the 2018 midterms.

Pablo Martinez
Monsivais/AP


  • Democrats received roughly 60 million votes for the House in
    the 2018 midterms, which is roughly equivalent to the number of
    votes President Donald Trump received in the 2016 election.
  • As Nate Silver of FiveThirtyEight pointed out over the
    weekend, “There’s not any precedent for an opposition party
    coming this close to matching the president’s vote total from 2
    years earlier.”
  • Trump entered the 2018 midterms with the lowest approval
    rating of any president in modern US history.

The total number of votes Democrats received for the House of
Representatives in the 2018 midterms is roughly equivalent to the
number of votes President Donald Trump received in the 2016
election, which is virtually unprecedented. 

Opposition parties typically do well in midterm elections, which
tend to serve as a referendum on the president. In this sense,
it’s not entirely shocking Democrats fared well across the
country in this year’s elections.


Read more:
Midterms 2018: Democrats took the House and the GOP held the
Senate in a wild election night

But as Nate Silver of FiveThirtyEight pointed out over the
weekend, “There’s not any precedent for an opposition party
coming this close to matching the president’s vote total from 2
years earlier. The closest to an exception was when Democratic
House candidates in 1970 got 92% of Nixon’s vote total from
1968.”

Simply put, the Democratic party’s performance in terms of total
House votes in the 2018 midterms was exceptional. In Silver’s
words, they received a “crazy
number”
of votes. 

Based on the latest numbers, Democrats received roughly
60 million votes
for the House, which as Silver noted is
close to the total number of votes for Republican presidential
candidates in recent elections: Donald Trump got 63 million votes
in 2016, Mitt Romney got 61 million in 2012, and John McCain got
60 million in 2008. 


Read more:
Trump has the worst approval rating of any president in modern US
history heading into their first midterm
election

In Silver’s view, this all points to Trump’s historic levels of
unpopularity, which heading into the midterms was the lowest
of any president in modern US history, according to data
from Gallup.

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